President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has signed the ₦54.99 trillion 2025 Appropriation Bill into law, marking a significant increase from the ₦27.5 trillion budgeted for 2024.
This represents a 99.96% surge in government expenditure, reflecting the administration’s ambitious fiscal strategy aimed at economic growth, infrastructure development, and debt management.
Key Components of the 2025 Budget
The approved budget includes several critical financial allocations designed to drive national development. Below is a breakdown of the major components:
1. Total Expenditure: – ₦54.99 Trillion
The budget comprises total expenditures of ₦54.99 trillion, which is significantly higher than the initial ₦49.7 trillion initially proposed by the president.
The increase follows deliberations and adjustments by the National Assembly.
2. Statutory Transfers – ₦3.65 Trillion
Statutory transfers include funds allocated to government agencies and institutions such as the National Assembly, Judiciary, Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and Universal Basic Education Commission (UBEC). This provision ensures smooth operations of these key governmental bodies.
3. Recurrent Expenditure – ₦13.64 Trillion
Recurrent expenditure, which covers government salaries, overheads, and other operational costs, is pegged at ₦13.64 trillion. While this is a necessary allocation, it continues to raise concerns about the government’s bloated running costs and its impact on capital-intensive projects.
4. Capital Expenditure – ₦23.96 Trillion
The government has earmarked ₦23.96 trillion for capital projects, including roads, railways, power infrastructure, and other development initiatives. This allocation signals a commitment to improving infrastructure, a key driver of economic growth and job creation.
5. Debt Servicing – ₦14.32 Trillion
One of the most striking aspects of the 2025 budget is the ₦14.32 trillion allocated to servicing existing debts. This figure highlights Nigeria’s rising debt burden, which has been a major concern for policymakers and economists. With public debt growing, the government faces increasing pressure to boost revenue generation and reduce reliance on borrowing.
6. Deficit-to-GDP Ratio – 1.52%
The budget deficit-to-GDP ratio is set at 1.52%, a relatively moderate figure that indicates the government’s intent to balance economic expansion with fiscal responsibility. However, bridging this deficit will require increased revenue from taxation, oil sales, and non-oil sectors.
Economic Implications of the 2025 Budget
The 2025 budget presents both opportunities and challenges for Nigeria’s economic landscape. Below are key takeaways:
1. Increased Government Spending
With an almost 100% increase in expenditure compared to the previous year, the government aims to stimulate economic growth. However, effective implementation will be crucial to ensuring funds are utilized efficiently.
2. Debt Sustainability Concerns
The high allocation for debt servicing underscores Nigeria’s financial obligations. While the government maintains that borrowing is necessary for development, analysts warn of long-term risks associated with excessive debt accumulation.
3. Capital Projects and Infrastructure
A ₦23.96 trillion investment in capital expenditure is expected to enhance infrastructure development. If properly executed, these projects could improve business environments, attract foreign investment, and create jobs.
4. Revenue Mobilization Efforts
To sustain this level of expenditure, the government will need to enhance its revenue generation. Strategies may include increased taxation, diversification of the economy, and improved efficiency in tax collection.
The 2025 budget is ambitious and signals the government’s intent to drive economic growth through increased spending.
However, its success hinges on prudent financial management, revenue expansion, and transparent implementation.
As Nigeria navigates this fiscal year, stakeholders will closely monitor the impact of these allocations on economic stability, public welfare, and national development.